Monday, July 29, 2013

A rock and a hard place? / Assorted perspectives and memories


Some American press painted Egypt pre- and immediately post-coup Egypt as stuck between the unfortunate rock and hard place of a military coup and an illiberal democracy. One of my professors sees the tension and violence Egypt faces as that stemming from a fundamental disagreement about the nature of the state—liberal or Islamic. It's a clash of lifestyles and worldviews, not mere political systems.

I’m going to try to do here what I tried to do in Egypt, usually with success, and hold my tongue on my own opinions. I arrived in the last month of Morsi’s twelve months of rule; there’s a lot I didn’t see, a lot I can only take or reject people’s word on. In the end, as an American student having studied at the American University, that’s all I can really do.

Besides that, my personal opinion is largely unimportant. What I think didn’t put 22 million signatures on the Tamarrud (“Rebellion”) petition and even more in the streets across Egypt, for the President or against him. What I think hasn't left hundreds dead.

But first, let me clear a few things up: two things these protests are fundamentally not are sectarian, and anti-American.

I did feel a very unfortunate religious divide in Egypt between its Muslim majority and sizable Christian minority (usually placed around 10%, some estimates going as high as 20%, or 16 million). Nevermind the decades of flagrant discrimination in licensing church construction and repair, and the stories of anti-Christian mobs in the south operating with near-impunity: a standard template of street acquaintance conversations included "inta muslim?" ("Are you Muslim?") or "diyantak 'ey?" ("What's your religion?"). 

Responses were always courteous, but I feel the fact that it's even an introductory question, that Egyptian ID's are required to list religion, speaks to a division that the joint prayers in Tahrir and "Christian + Muslim = Egypt" graffiti can never more than paper over.

Egyptian Christians by and large oppose Islamism and espouse liberal or secular political frameworks. This puts them in the same squares they've held for over two years, alongside millions of like-minded Muslims. Any civil strife Egypt has endured and is set to face is not sectarian in nature.

Nor is it profoundly anti-American. In fact, I'd say that annoyance with the painfully clear spinelessness of American policy in Egypt is one of the few things both sides can agree on right now. Despite the widespread claim among opposition that America helped install the Brotherhood, and the pro-Morsi camp's disgust at the weak international response to the President's unseating, America's a farcical sideshow to the looming military-Brotherhood conflict.


I was always very careful when Egyptians asked my opinion on the political scene—as I’ve said, I didn’t really have the right, given my circumstances, to a stance I felt comfortable expressing. Usually I’d feel them out first, take things from there. If pro-Morsi, I’d chime in that he was democratically elected for four years before lightly devil’s-advocating that if over 20 million people (out of 80-odd million) were in the streets against him, there probably was a serious problem. If anti-Morsi, I’d say the same but flip the order.

Regardless the position I’d end with “God be with you” and “God help Egypt.”

The first conversation I remember was with sixteen year-old Ahmad on the Metro. After the introductory “Amriiki inta?” (“You’re American?”) exchange it came out that Ahmed was an Ultras Ahlawy, diehard fan of the renowned al-Ahly soccer club.

The Ultras were in many ways the 2011 Revolution’s vanguard, the only sizable group of civilians not afraid of the police. They were on the frontlines of the earliest clashes. In Feb. 2012 a match between al-Ahly and al-Masry disintegrated into chaos when fans of the latter attacked those of the former. The police stood by or encouraged the violence, and 79 people died, the youngest 15. Ahmed’s left arm was broken.

He told me many interesting things about Egypt, Israel, America, and his future vis-a-vis the first two. He has a few years left of secondary school, then wants to enter the army to fight Israel. But before all that "nusqit Morsi" ("we topple Morsi"). His casual reference to overthrowing a second government made it sound like the next item on a laundry list.

Among my misadventures in Cairo were unadvisable eating patterns that eventually put me overnight in the hospital. Once I stopped vomiting and settled in the rest of the day was slothing, eating, and doing my linguistic best to keep up banter with the doctors and staff. Despite some things going over my head I had no issue deciphering their stance on Morsi. "Mish 'ayzeenu," the hijabbed nurse offered, enthusiastically and in front of her colleagues at the desk: "We don't want him."

The Tamarrud (Rebellion) Campaign was huge and very public. "6/30" graffiti (in reference to the planned date of demonstration) was ubiquitous. More than once I saw young men and women campaigning for signatures toward the President’s resignation, more openly and fearlessly than any bake sale or charity you've seen here. More successfully, too.

I believe all the professors but one were against Morsi. In addition to the one who read things as an almost-Huntingtonesque clash of cultures, another painted the Brothers simply as snakes and liars. Their Masr 25 news channel, she said, literally broadcasted lies, the complete opposite of things she’d occasionally seen with her own eyes. 

Good thing, then, that Masr 25 and the two other prominent Islamist channels were knocked offline by the military when the overthrow was announced.

The same professor brought up several more points. The elections were fraught with spending irregularities. Morsi distanced and disenfranchised his opposition, even as things heated up in the days before 6-30 and the Army set a deadline for a political solution to be reached; given another year, he probably would've had the opposition imprisoned. 

Democracy, the professor continued, isn't just a ballot. For it to mean anything but mob rule it must guarantee the rights of all, including minorities. This was a particular concern of Egypt's Christians, subject to various forms of oppression and marginalization since Abdel Nasser.

Beyond even the dismal economic performance blamed, unfairly or not, on Morsi (see David P. Goldman's "The Economic Blunders Behind the Arab Revolutions"), the bottom line for many boiled down to a lack of trust: though Morsi was elected for a four-year term (in what are, despite my teacher's misgivings, generally seen as fair elections), the 20,000,000+ that flooded Egypt's squares at the end of June had no confidence the Muslim Brotherhood that controls him would abide by the democratic process.

But of course this isn't the whole story. Millions have also taken to the streets in support of Morsi, or more precisely of his legitimacy as President. I can't claim to have spoken with as many of these, if only because it's frankly a dangerous opinion to hold these days.

The first one I met at a mosque off the main street in Dokki, the day before the military announced its overthrow. His name may have been Bassem—based on a phone contact I don't recognize—but I don't remember. What I remember are his eyes, calm and steel-blue like some Egyptians have. His point was simple but strong: Morsi was Egypt's democratically-elected president. After praying, he told me, he was going to Nahda Square to join a pro-Morsi demonstration. We exchanged contact info and amicably parted. My last word was "God protect the Egyptian people."

That evening unknown parties descended on the square and fired into the crowd. Eighteen were killed, dozens more wounded. I never heard from the man again.

The other supporter I spoke to worked at the American University (AUC) dorm's cafeteria. A name again evades me—I was only there for a bowl of koshary, and they say over half of Egyptian males are named either Muhammad or Ahmad anyway. His tune was also legitimacy: you elected him, gave him four years, so how can you demand he leave after just one? He also brought up an interesting point I heard a few times in 2011: "Look at the two squares: in [opposition's] Tahrir there's dancing, there's boisterous music, men mingling with women. In [supporters'] Raabe'a al-'Adwiya they're praying. You want to talk about 'moral high-ground'?"

That was a few hours before Al-Sisi announced the overthrow. That night was a blur; if I saw the young man again, I have no recollection.

As close as I got to Tahrir after protests started; just visible (I think) to the left of the pinkish Egyptian Museum. Photo snapped in the course of evacuation.

(A miscellaneous exercise in empathy for the American reader: we can relate to our candidate losing an election—disappointment, depression, perhaps anger or fear for society. Imagine for a second your candidate winning, slogging through a year of bitter opposition before being forcibly unseated by the military. Morsi's currently in his fourth week of detention, incommunicado, recently charged with what could amount to treason.)

I wrote a while back that the thing I'm least afraid for and most sure I'll find intact whenever I return, is its binding sense of community, the way you're never really alone, how people share your problems and have your back. Sitting on this optimistic insight for the better part of a month—admittedly thousands of miles from the streets that inspired it—I've come to a new thought, far more disconcerting. Despite the small-unit cohesion in Egyptian society, the bigger picture increasingly appears split between opposing sides that don't yet show promising signs of backing down. I pray reason return soon to the streets of Egypt.

Breaking my ban on personal opinions (don't know if I've abided, anyway), I was glad today to hear of the Third Square, a nascent movement that rejects each of the two main camps: http://thelede.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/26/tahrir-taken-some-egyptians-look-for-a-third-square-to-resist-islamists-and-army/?_r=0


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